Critical social scenario and extra political repression: the right cocktail for a brand new revolt in Tunisia


The regime is working onerous arresting magistrates, journalists, businessmen and opposition politicians. On Saturday, he expelled a European union chief from the nation for collaborating within the protests within the metropolis of Sfax. citiesThe North African nation desperately awaits a mortgage from the International Monetary Fund to alleviate a vital monetary scenario

When it appeared that there was no room for additional erosion of the Tunisian constitutional system, along with his actions in these first weeks of the 12 months the President of the Republic, Kais Saied, is demonstrating that the injury to the institutional construction of his nation will be definitive. After having dissolved Parliament on the finish of March of final 12 months, eight months after having ended its exercise, and since then having ruled by decree, with a brand new Constitution made to measure and a just lately elected Assembly with out events, to “ “to save lots of” democracy and straighten the course of the financial system, the president is working onerous, with fewer and fewer scruples, towards any ingredient that stands in his manner.

The Tunisian Presidency simply posted a video of Kais Saied lecturing officers from the Ministry of Interior on:

– How his opponents are traitors and terrorists,
– how they’re making an attempt to kill him (for the n-th time),
– how he supervised the latest arrests,
– why they need to be… pic.twitter.com/oFTAlXl7ii

— Mohamed Dhia Hammami – محمد ضياء الهمامي (@MedDhiaH) February 15, 2023

This February the president’s campaign with the intention to purify the nation of dangerous components has focused magistrates, businessmen, journalists, union leaders and opposition politicians, led by the Islamists of the Ennahda celebration. In three days, the regime arrested ten outstanding personalities, together with Noureddine Boutar, basic director of Mosaique FM radio, one of many major stations in Tunisia, and the previous Minister of Justice and vp of Ennahda – the primary celebration of the dissolved Tunisian democratic Parliament. , Noureddine Bhiri and the businessman near the previous dictator Zine el Abidine Ben Ali, Kamel Eltaief, along with two of the 57 magistrates disqualified by Saied final June. In December, the Tunisian authorities already arrested, accusing him of sending jihadists to Syria, former Prime Minister Ali Laarayedh, additionally a member of the Islamist formation led by veteran Rachid Ghannouchi, who has not escaped judicial investigations both.

But part of Tunisian society begins to mobilize. The rejection of the autocratic strategies of the professor of Constitutional Law finds fertile floor in a deep malaise derived from a vital socioeconomic scenario for months. In just some weeks, the president has relieved his ministers of Education, Agriculture and Foreign Affairs. Mosaique TV warns the president that “there is no such thing as a intention to alter the editorial line.” In mid-January, the National Salvation Front, the primary platform that brings collectively the events against the president, already confirmed muscle within the streets to demand Saied’s resignation.

The final of the large protests happened final Saturday, when a number of thousand supporters of the primary Tunisian union, the UGTT, took to the streets in cities in numerous areas of the nation, together with Sfax or the capital itself, towards the coverage financial system and the “assaults on freedoms” carried out by President Kais Saied.

The organizers of the protests warn that the settlement with the IMF that the Tunisian authorities are negotiating will imply new austerity measures, such because the withdrawal of subsidies for primary merchandise, for a inhabitants that has already been hit onerous and has suffered from shortages and shortage of meals within the final Likewise, the UGTT, which was a protagonist within the riots that ended the dictatorship of Zine el Abidine Ben Ali in 2011 and initially supported Saied’s self-coup in July 2021, referred to as for the discharge of union chief Anis Kaabi. , arrested on January 31 for “utilizing his place to hurt public authorities.” The trial will start this Thursday.

European union chief expelled

One of essentially the most severe episodes of the Tunisian authoritarian drift skilled thus far additionally occurred on Saturday, when the authorities expelled the overall secretary of the European Trade Union Confederation (ETUC), the Irish Esther Lynch, to whom Saied declared ” persona non grata”, for having participated in one of many protests referred to as by the UGTT. “He made statements that included flagrant interference within the inner affairs of Tunisia (…) There is not any solution to enable any exterior celebration to assault the sovereignty of the State and the sovereignty of its folks,” says the Tunisian Presidency word launched by means of of social networks.

The Tunisian president Kais Said ordered the expulsion of essentially the most senior commerce union official of the European Union for “flagrant interference”. Esther Lynch at 24 hours to give up the Tunisie. pic.twitter.com/x0nRCP9e7I

– TV5MONDE Info (@TV5MONDEINFO) February 19, 2023

For Monica Marks, professor of Middle East Politics at New York University Abu Dhabi and skilled on Tunisian points, the expulsion of Esther Lynch is especially severe as a result of “it marks the primary expulsion of a international citizen for political causes for the reason that 2011 revolution He overthrew Ben Ali, so far as I do know. It is available in a context of dramatic raids that escalate Saied’s repression this week,” the researcher wrote on Twitter.

Saied’s authoritarian drift doesn’t appear to have an finish. On the worldwide scene, the regime continues to barter with the International Monetary Fund a credit score value 1.9 billion {dollars} -the public debt quantities to 89% of GDP- whereas receiving increasingly more criticism from overseas, primarily from the EU and the United States, with out this making a dent within the president. Saied’s rapprochement with the Algerian army regime is rising. The United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights and the European Parliament expressed their concern final week concerning the rising deterioration of the scenario in Tunisia. For its half, Amnesty International has referred to as on Saied to “put an finish to his political witch hunt.”

Said’s expulsion of @EstherLynchs from #Tunisia is VERY huge information.

Marks 1st expulsion of a international citizen from 🇹🇳 on political grounds since 2011 revolution overthrew Ben Ali, so far as I’m conscious.

Comes in context of dramatic roundups escalating Saied’s repression this week.

— Monica Marks (@MonicaLMarks) February 18, 2023

Until now, the president – ​​who got here to energy on the polls after a double spherical of elections in October 2019 – was an autocrat, had taken benefit of the passivity of a inhabitants drained and upset with the democratic expertise that emerged from 2011, the hopeful jasmine revolution that gave rise to the beginning sign for what got here to be referred to as the Arab Spring. Judging by the participation within the second spherical of the legislative elections – with out events – held in January, wherein barely one in ten residents went to the polls, and, above all, the more and more in style protests registered in latest weeks within the Tunisian streets the tense calm of the final months begins to mutate into one other situation, more and more unpredictable and harmful, for the autocracy of Kais Saied.

The partisan and union opposition has thus far been unable to behave collectively, however the cocktail shaped by deep social discontent over financial situations – the structural disaster was exacerbated by the implications of the pandemic and the battle in Ukraine, the persecution opposition to opponents from throughout the political {and professional} spectrum and a scarcity of hope for the longer term portends turbulent occasions in Tunisia.